In an extraordinary behind-the-scenes diplomatic push, Saudi Arabia has delivered a stark ultimatum to Iran: engage with Trump’s nuclear deal or risk a dangerous military escalation, potentially involving Israel. This covert warning, carried last month by Saudi Defence Minister Prince Khalid bin Salman to top Iranian officials in Tehran, marks one of the most direct appeals Riyadh has made in years to avert regional war.

The closed-door meeting on April 17 included Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian and military and diplomatic chiefs. Prince Khalid, once Saudi ambassador to Washington during Trump’s earlier term, conveyed that the former U.S. president has little patience for prolonged diplomacy. The prince urged Iran to respond swiftly to Trump’s nuclear deal offer, warning that hesitation could lead to catastrophic consequences, including pre-emptive Israeli strikes on Iranian nuclear sites.

Why Iran fears Trump’s nuclear deal?

While Iran’s leadership responded with interest in easing sanctions and securing a broader deal, concerns remain high in Tehran about Washington’s shifting demands. Iranian officials reportedly told the Saudis they are open to diplomacy but fear Trump’s unpredictable stance, ranging from threats of military force to calls for full dismantling of uranium enrichment, makes negotiations risky.

Still, the visit by Prince Khalid is being seen as a critical Saudi effort to stabilize a volatile region already rocked by conflicts in Gaza and Lebanon. Iran’s regional clout has taken a hit in recent years, from Israeli strikes on its allies to economic woes driven by Western sanctions.

Saudi Arabia’s intervention appears to be guided by a broader vision: avoiding a confrontation that could derail its economic ambitions and Vision 2030 goals. According to sources familiar with the discussion, Riyadh has pledged not to allow U.S. or Israeli use of its territory in any potential military action, a reassurance meant to build Iranian trust.

The stakes are enormous. As Trump’s renewed efforts to secure a nuclear agreement gain pace, the next few weeks could decide whether the Middle East steps back from the brink — or slides toward another devastating conflict.

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